How to Win at Roulette

Tuesday, 22nd August 2017

Winning at roulette doesn’t take a magic formula or a secret system. It’s purely a game of luck. So if you’re looking for a secret strategy or surefire way to win, you’ll probably be disappointed by the information on this page. On the other hand, if you’re interested in learning the real odds of winning and what you need to do in order to be a winner, you’ll be thrilled by the info on this page.


The Odds of Winning at Roulette

An America roulette wheel has 38 numbers on it—the numbers 1-36 (inclusive), a 0, and a 00. Calculating the odds of winning a bet on any single number is simplicity itself—you have one way to win out of 38 possible outcomes, which makes the odds of winning 37 to 1. This bet pays out at 35 to 1 odds.

Of course, the single number bet isn’t the only way to win at the roulette table. A plethora of betting options await the roulette player, in fact. These betting options have different odds of winning, but they also offer different payouts.

Another easy example of roulette odds are the even money bets. 18 of the numbers on the roulette wheel are red. 18 of them are black, and two of them, the 0 and the 00, are green. So if you bet on black (or red), then you have 18 ways to win and 20 ways to lose. Your odds of winning are slightly less than 50%. 18/38 is 47.36%. This bet pays out at even odds.

If you’re paying attention, you’ll notice that in both of these scenarios, your odds of winning are less than the payout odds. This is what gives the house an edge over the player. In the short run, anyone can walk away from the roulette table a winner. But in the long run, the house is always going to come out ahead.

So how do you become a winner at roulette?


The Maximum Boldness Strategy

Let’s assume that your goal is to just double your money. How do you maximize your chances of doing that?

The correct mathematical strategy is to make one bet of your entire bankroll, cross your fingers, and hope you get lucky. If you lose, you’re out of money, but if you win, then you’ve succeeded in your goal.

The maximum boldness strategy entails placing a single even money bet and hoping to get lucky. You’ll have a 47.36% chance of doubling your money.

Suppose, on the other hand, that you’re going to place two bets with half your bankroll. You’ll have to win both bets in order to double your money. What’s the likelihood of that happening?

That isn’t hard to calculate either. When you’re calculating the probability of two events happening, you multiple the probability of each event happening. So you would simply multiply 47.36% by 47.36%.

The result?

22.42%

Your chances of doubling your bankroll drop dramatically in that case, don’t they?

Suppose you divided your bankroll into four separate bets. Your chances of doubling your money would drop even further.

47.36% X 47.36% X 47.36% X 47.36% = 5.03%

So if your goal is to double your money, the best strategy is to place a single bet. The more bets you place on any negative expectation wager, the more likely the house edge is to catch up with you.

You might still walk away a winner in this situation, but it will be a smaller win. And you’ll be less likely to double your money.


What about Systems?

Roulette systems don’t work. Most of them involve increasing or decreasing your bet based on the outcome of your previous bet. The idea is that the odds of losing several bets in a row is smaller than the odds of losing a single bet, and vice versa.

The problem with this line of thinking is that you’re not placing a single wager on a series of bets. You’re placing multiple wagers on multiple events, and the odds of each event are independent of each other.

The house’s edge over the player doesn’t change based on the previous spin of the wheel. If you bet on black and lose, then the odds of black hitting on the next spin are still 47.36%. The probability doesn’t change because of what happened previously.

The most common of these bogus systems is the Martingale system, which requires you to double your bet every time you lose. The idea is that you’ll eventually win back your previous losses plus a single unit.

Here’s an example. Suppose you bet $5 on black and lose. On your next bet, you wager $10 on black. You lose again, so your next bet is $20. This time you win, so you’ve won back the $15 you lose on the first two bets, plus $5.

At first glance, this seems like a pretty good system. But it has two problems.

The first is that you’ll eventually hit a losing streak where your next bet will be too high for your bankroll. It only takes eight losing bets in a row to get to the point where you’ll need $1280 to place your next bet. (The progression looks like this: $5, $10, $20, $40, $80, $160, $320, $640, $1280.) And remember—you don’t just need $1280 for the last bet. You’ve already lost $1275 by this point in your betting progression.

If you do win this $1280 bet, you’ll only be up $5, which means you’re making a large wager for a very small return.

The other problem is that even if you do have a sufficient bankroll to cover this kind of progression, all casinos have maximum bets. If you’re playing at a $5 roulette table, the maximum bet is probably $500 or $1000. So you’ll be unable to continue your progression.

You might be thinking, how often will I have a losing streak of eight in a row, though?

That answer is not often, but it will happen often enough to make sure that you’re not a long term winner at roulette.


So How Do You Win at Roulette?

In the short run, the only way to win at roulette is to get lucky and walk away. In the long run, the only way to win at roulette is to get even luckier and quit while you’re ahead. The more you play a negative expectation gambling game, the more likely you are to become a net loser.

Does this mean you shouldn’t play roulette?

That’s not our point at all. If you enjoy roulette, then play. Just don’t think you can make a living at it by using some mathematically bogus system or strategy. Earmark your roulette money as an entertainment expense. Then play as much as your bankroll allows until you’re no longer having fun.


How to Win at Craps

Players sometimes overthink casino strategy. Craps is a classic example of gamblers falling into various fallacies. Shooting dice looks complicated, because of the proliferation of bets offered. The craps table not only has a bunch of betting options, but it has four dealers to work one table, so a new gambler naturally assumes the game is complex.


Winning Craps Strategies

Over five decades ago, the U.S. Navy adopted a phrase: “Keep it simple, stupid.” That phrase applies very well to winning craps. Avoid the complicated tactics and exotic bets and you’ll do just fine at craps. The reason is simple: the best odds are placed on the basic bets.

Those bets are the pass and don’t pass bets, as well as the come and don’t come bets. The pass and come bets have a house edge of 1.41%. The “don’t pass” and don’t come bets have a house edge of 1.35%. Every other wager on the craps table are higher–and some are outrageously high.


Pass Bets

Pass bets, also called the win bet or right bet, must be made by the shooter in craps. All other gamblers must choose to make a pass bet or a “don’t pass” bet. The don’t pass bet is betting against the shooter and is seen as a bit unfriendly, though it has slightly better odds.

To win a pass bet, you must roll a 7 or an 11 to win. If this happens, it is called a natural. If you roll a 2, 3, or 11, these numbers are considered “craps” and you have crapped-out (lost). Any other numbers sets a “point” for the player to roll. When a point is set, then the shooter must roll that number again before you roll a 7. So if you rolled a “6” on the come out roll, then you would need to roll a 6 again before rolling a 7. If you made the don’t pass bet, you would need a 7 instead of a 6.


Come Bets

The come bet is just like the pass bet, except it is made after the come-out roll. Once this wager is made, it plays out just like the scenario above and has the same odds. The “don’t come” bet is the same as the “don’t pass” bet, though it is made after you come out roll, too.


Alternative Craps Bets

Try the other wagers, if you wish, but understand you reduce the probability of winning when you do so. Bets which have decent odds include the Place 6/Place 8 bets (1.52%), the Buy 4/Buy 10 bets (1.67%), and the Lay 4/Lay 10 bets (2.44%).


Sucker Bets

Some wagers should never be attempted, because the house edge is simply outrageous. Examples of bets which atrocious odds include the Hard 4/Hard 10 bet (11.11%), most single bets (11.11%), the Horn bet (12.5%), the Whirl or World bet (13.33%), the 2/12 single bets (13.89%), and the worst of all, the “any 7” single bet (16.67%). Every one of the wagers I just listed is what’s called a “sucker bet”.


Taking the Odds

The key strategy to optimizing your expected return in craps is to learn how to “take the odds“. Odds is an optional bet offered to players after a point is established. This is a zero-advantage bet which always should be taken, if offered. Optimally, a gambler would bet the maximum amount on their odds bet, because it lowers the effective house edge on what you’re staked on the outcome of the roll. For this reason, casinos limit the size of your odds wager, to limit its effect on the game. This limitation is based on the size of your pass or don’t pass bet.

When you take the odds, these are called “pass odds”, “don’t pass odds”, “come odds”, and “don’t come odds”. When you first walk up to the craps table, you should learn the limitations placed on the odds at the table. High rollers should locate the table with the maximum limits on the odds bets, then max out your odds wager every chance you get.


Keeping It Simple

That’s it, as far as it comes to craps strategies. Wager on the pass/come and don’t pass/don’t come bets, then take the odds every chance you’re allowed. If you are a high stakes player who want to bet the maximum amount when it’s advantageous, max out your odds wager. If you do these things, you are playing craps optimally.

Optimal play in craps does not assure that you’ll win. In fact, it doesn’t even assure advantage play. Anytime you shoot dice for real money at the casino, you play at a disadvantage. The house edge still exists. Keep that in mind. Winning is never assured, but craps is not a game you can beat over the long term. When the casino has the advantage (and that’s most of the time), it’s best to walk away after a big winning roll.


How to Win at Blackjack?

Monday, 21st August 2017

Blackjack is casino game you can beat in a live casino setting. To do this you will need to master the basic strategy, and then learn to count cards while hiding the fact that you are counting from the casino security team. For most people, the path to pro blackjack player is too time consuming or mathematical. You can still win in the short-term – and by reducing the house edge with smart play and taking advantage of casino comps and bonuses, you’ll find your bankroll lasts long enough to enjoy a few nice upswings.

Online you will not be able to use counting to overcome the house edge. This guide will show you how to use the online games to become a blackjack expert who could one day take on the live casinos – and to have a lot of fun along the way. I have started with some nuts and bolts – money management and the rules / basic strategy. After that you’ll find information on card counting – followed by some notes on emotional control.


Tip#1 – Money Management

When it comes to Blackjack and all other forms of gambling, you should only be betting amounts you are willing to lose. Set aside a portion of money that you are willing to gamble with, which should be capped at an amount high enough to enjoy the thrills – but low enough not to negatively impact your life should it end up in the houses’ coffers. My recommendation is never to enter a game with less than 50 bets to allow you to play for a decent amount of time and easily absorb the swings of the game.


Tip #2 – Understanding the Rules

You need to be familiar with the basic rules of blackjack before you start playing. Knowing you bust if you go over 21 is not enough, you will have to be comfortable with all aspects and terminology of the game. Make sure you understand what is meant when insurance is offered (and never take it!), and if you can double down with certain hands. This will not only benefit you but keep the game flowing nicely for all players.

Local casinos and even online card rooms can have their own subtle difference and variations on the rules. You should avoid unprofitable and awkward situations by checking these before you sit down to play. A strategy card is a must-have for serious players. Many casinos allow you to use one while playing – though it will make your Blackjack session far more enjoyable if you can memorize this.


Tip #3 – Card Counting

By taking to time to study and practice how to card count, you can get a legitimate edge over the House. Card counting is simply keeping track of what cards are yet to be dealt and adjusting betting amounts based on whether the cards to come are favorable or not. If there is a comparatively large number of high cards left in the deck compared to lower ones the player has an edge, and this is a great time to increase your bet sizes.

Learning to card count does take significant amount of time studying and practicing until you can implement it correctly, but if you are willing to do this the increase in your hourly winnings at the table will be worth it. I recommend the Hi Opt 2 or Uston Advanced Count systems, there are many others which are easier, only they do not work so well in the modern 6 to 8 deck games.

Remember that card counting will not work online. If you play online the best you can do is play ‘perfect’ strategy for the individual game rules, then add a fat Casino Bonus on top to make sure you get some extra cash in your account.


Tip #4 – Emotional Control

Once you have researched you strategy and have put it in place, keep to it. Even when you have an edge it will be very thin so expect the inevitable swings of the game to come. You should avoid chasing loses and getting reckless in your betting in order to get back to where you were as soon as possible. Likewise after a hot streak you should avoid getting confident and celebrating your victories with too many drinks, or betting more because you are running good.

Keep your cool and bet only in the logical yet confident manner you have spent time practicing. Ultimately the cards do not care if you are winning or losing and with a comfortable bankroll neither should you. The edges will work themselves out in the end.


Tip #5 – Defy Common Belief!

Common belief says you cannot win at Blackjack. You should now see this is wrong in the live casino setting at least – and you can play winning Blackjack with study and discipline. Keep learning everything you can about the game from the basics to advance strategy while making sure you have enough bankroll to support your play and emotions.